Here is one thing we know: Donald Trump, against all
odds, will be the next President of the United States.
That's
a fact. How exactly it came to be is an open question. There will be dozens of
books written about the real estate magnate's path to the White House. From his
trampling of the Republican primary field to a convincing electoral victory
over Hillary Clinton after a shockingly nasty general election campaign, some
could arrive in volumes.
For
now, though, we are left to sketch the first draft of history. And, like so
many rough outlines, this one is a little messy.
Here are 24 different
explanations -- some way more realistic than others -- for Trump's win:
1. He won because of Facebook and its inability or unwillingness to crack down on fake news
Via
New York Magazine: The social network and others like it became a clearinghouse
for fake news. Not simple partisan spin, but outright lies peddled as objective
truth by shady actors both inside the US and abroad.
2. Because of social media, generally
Via
right-wing commentator Stefan Molyneux: The medium made the man -- much as
radio won the presidency for Franklin Roosevelt and television boosted John
Kennedy, social media allowed Trump and his allies to drive the narrative.
3. Because of low voter turnout
Via
multiple sources on social media: For a variety of reasons, from an enthusiasm
gap to voter suppression, turnout in 2016 was lower across the board, but
especially among Democrats. And it cost Clinton the election.
4. because celebrity outlasts substance
Via
Quartz: Trump's name ID, celebrity and media-savvy overmatched Clinton's policy
acumen and data-driven turnout operation.
5. Because of white women
Via
Slate: They were just as "racist" as their white male counterparts,
with whom they identify more than women from minority groups.
6. Because of white male resentment
Via
The Nation: Forget economic anxiety -- exit polls show people making the least
money voted for Clinton -- and focus on identity. The best evidence lies in Trump
and his supporters' calls to "take our country back."
7. Because of Russia after all?
Via
The Washington Post: The Russian deputy foreign minister, Sergei Ryabkov, said
in an interview with state media that, contrary to Trump's denials, "quite
a few" people from his "entourage" have "been staying in
touch with Russian representatives."
8. because the left and coastal elites shamed Trump supporters
Via
The New York Times: The left has pressed on with an "ideology of
shame" directed at the right, most notably now Trump supporters.
In
short: "The racism, sexism and xenophobia used by Mr. Trump to advance his
candidacy does not reveal an inherent malice in the majority of
Americans."
9. Because rural Midwesterners don't get out of the house enough
Via
Patrick Thornton of Roll Call: It's not just that elites are abandoning or
ignoring Middle America -- the "rural midwest" is doing the same,
becoming more isolated and resistant to the diversity (of identity and thought)
on the coasts.
10. Because the Democratic Party establishment didn't push Bernie Sanders
Via
The Huffington Post: By raising up Clinton over Sanders, the Democratic Party
establishment (and its voters?) showed they favored the company and support of
comfortable professionals over those beset by economic injustice.
11. Because Reagan Democrats surged in Michigan and Midwest
Via
former U.N. ambassador John Bolton: The so-called "Reagan Democrats"
-- white, working class voters who tend to lean Democrat but bend right for
special candidates like Ronald Reagan and, now, Trump -- are the story of this
election.
12. Not because of millennials
Via
the Boston Globe: But do blame the media for focusing too much on them and not
enough on the older white males who were the great, underreported story of
2016.
13. Because of Gary Johnson and Jill Stein
Via
Vanity Fair: Clinton lost for lots of reasons, most notably the millions of
voters who turned out for Johnson and Stein, thus denying the Democratic
support she might have received in narrowly lost states like Pennsylvania.
14. Because political correctness set off a nasty backlash
Via
Reason: Trump's promise to "destroy" political correctness, which has
run rampant on college campuses and other more liberal enclaves, won him the
culture war and, thus, the presidency.
15. Because he simply listened to the American people
Via
right radio host John Cardillo: The political class (on the coasts) did not
listen to or care enough for Middle America. Trump did. So he won.
16. Because college educated Americans are out of touch
Via
the Alaska Dispatch News: Trump spoke to working-class voters, here mostly
defined as those without college degrees, about the things they cared about:
religion, liberty, marriage, sexuality, abortion and gun rights. And because
"professorial sorts" who have spent time at universities drift into
an "insular political culture," their candidate was doomed to lose.
17. Because Americans are biased -- but not against any race, ethnicity or gender
Via
The Resurgent: The election was, simply, a referendum on the ruling class in
Washington, D.C. None of the other issues, be they cultural or racial, came
close to mattering as much.
18. Because voters believed the system was corrupt
Via
The (UK) Daily Telegraph: Voters believed their political apparatus was corrupt
and Trump was the only one who reliably affirmed that belief and promised to
fix it.
19. Because he remembered 'forgotten men, women' of America
Via
FirstPost: While Hillary Clinton held campaign rallies with Beyoncé and Jay-Z,
Trump was out talking about the "forgotten" working class, which in
turn exacted a "revenge" on the political elite by voting for him.
20. Because Democrats focused more on turning out supporters than growing the base
Via
In These Times: The party and the left "have given up/abandoned/lost touch
with the working class" -- as evidenced by their lame effort to persuade
people outside their base. By focusing on them, Democrats ceded all else.
21. Because the Democratic National Committee selected the less competitive candidate
Via
WikiLeaks on Twitter: The party tipped the scales for Clinton, thus "defeating
the purpose of running a primary" and in turn denying Sanders, a better
candidate, the chance to win.
22. Not because of racism
Via
Bloomberg View: Never mind the backlash to the country's first African-American
president, this wasn't about race in the slightest. If race were an issue, then
Obama wouldn't have won two terms and many of the states Trump himself
prevailed in on Tuesday.
23. Because of Comey
Via
USA Today: The FBI director's decision to revive the Clinton email circus with a
letter to Congress two weeks before Election Day killed the Democrat's momentum
and derailed her plans to finish the campaign with a more uplifting message. It
also distracted from things like Trump's comments in the "Access
Hollywood" tape.
24. Not because of Comey
Via
The Washington Post: Clinton lost because exit polls showed more than half of
voters believed she was "corrupt." And that was her own fault, not
Comey's.
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